The United States announced new, higher tariff rates this year. Tariffs can affect supply chains, investment, and firms’ ...

Robert G. Valletta, associate director of research and senior vice president at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, ...

To better understand the potential impacts of AI on the economy, this analysis assesses workers likely to be exposed to AI on ...

Economic conditions in the Twelfth District were mixed during the October to mid-November reporting period. Employment levels ...

We show that the underlying source of inflation impacts financial market perceptions of the persistence of monetary policy ...

On the labor market, I don’t feel as confident we can get ahead of it. It’s vulnerable enough now that the risk is it’ll have ...

The Daily News Sentiment Index is a high frequency measure of economic sentiment based on lexical analysis of economics-related news articles. The index is described in Buckman, Shapiro, Sudhof, and ...

Sylvain Leduc, executive vice president and director of research at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, stated his views on the current economy and the outlook as of October 24, 2024.

The China Cyclical Activity Tracker, China CAT, is an alternative measure of China’s economic growth based on research in Fernald, Hsu, and Spiegel (2020). The China CAT index measures fluctuations in ...

The Weather-Adjusted Employment Change data page provides estimates of monthly weather-adjusted employment changes in the United States. Starting with the official Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ...